Think Financial Markets - Excellence In Trading Financial Markets

Think Financial Markets - Excellence In Trading Financial Markets

Market Sentiment

It is essential that we have a general feeling of which direction our market may trade on any given day.

To achieve this it is necessary to be aware of how global markets have performed on the previous day as well as during the night.

We measure this sentiment by allocating points to certain global indicies to measure their strength or weakness.

We look firstly to The Dow Jones Index. This index is one of the world’s most influential and as such rates very highly in determining the daily sentiment.

We allocate between 2 pts plus or minus if the overnight movement is less than 50pts or 4pts if over 50pts

The next most important indicator is the SPI200 which is the futures contract covering the Australian markets top 200 stocks and trades almost 24hours per day.

We also allocate between 2 and 4 pts as per the Dow.

Then we add both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 indicies from the U.S they are allocated points as follows

Nasdaq above /below 30 ,plus or minus 2pts or less than 30, 1pt

S&P 500 above /below 15, plus or minus 2pts or less than 15, 1pt

Next we add the FTSE 100 results from England and the NIKKEI 250 from Japan which are allocated 1pt for a plus or minus result.

The maximum points on our table are 14 and variations of this will gauge bullish or bearish sentiment.

Other very important overnight markets to be taken into consideration when trading the Australian market are firstly the strength or weakness in the Aussie dollar versus the US dollar and we rarely have a good day if the commodity markets have been sold down during the night.


Sunday, June 24, 2007

Packer's Game Play

The gaming industry has faced some challeges recently with smoking bans, regulatory changes, and new betting exchanges. The main ASX listed players are TTS, TAH and James Packer's PBL. In less than 18 months after the death of Kerry Packer, his son James has transformed the family business stearing it towards becoming a major global gaming powerhouse with casino purchases in Macau, Canada and Las Vegas.

James Packer's plan may be on a solid growth path. According to a PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP report released this week, global gambling revenue is estimated to hit $144 billion in 2011 after growing at an annually compounded rate of 7.2% a year, driven by new casinos and upgrades of existing casinos in all regions of the world, the report said.

Revenue in the U.S. is expected to grow 6.7% a year to $79.6 billion from $57.5 billion, while in the Asia Pacific region it is forecast to grow 15.7% annually to $30.3 billion from $14.6 billion, becoming the world's second largest casino market.
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